Monday, October 31, 2011

Is it too late to sell on Tim Tebow as a QB?

A couple weeks ago, Broncos QB Tim Tebow was a popular choice on the fantasy football waiver wires.

Two weeks later, I'm here to tell you to bail.

It's one thing if you're trying to win real football games. Tebow hasn't shown anything resembling an NFL quarterback. He can't throw. He can't read defenses.

If a receiver isn't open, Tebow looks to run.

Two weeks in a row he was awful through three quarters. Last week, he and the Broncos got lucky against a Dolphins team that collapsed.

On Sunday, Tebow and the Broncos collapsed against the Lions.

Here are two select columns you should check out on Tebow. One, from AP columnist Tim Dahlberg, the second from Denver Post columnist Mark Kiszla.

The Broncos are in trouble.

Don't let your fantasy football team follow the same path.

Oh, Tebow might run for a TD and put up yards rushing, but you'll get little else.

Get off the Tebow Train while there's still time.

Saturday, October 22, 2011

Week 7 in fantasy football has been crazy, and the games haven't even started yet

It's been a crazy week for fantasy football. I'm not sure I remember so much action at the trade deadline as the was this week.

Let's recap. The Broncos sent Brandon Lloyd to the Rams, who really could use a wide receiver. I don't think Lloyd's value goes down for the rest of the season, but I don't believe he'll recapture the magic he had last season when he led the league in yardage. And, if you're starting Lloyd this week like I am in one league, don't expect much. Sam Bradford likely will miss Sunday's game, so you really have to temper your expectations this week with Lloyd.

Carson Palmer was traded by the Bengals to the Raiders. It's been a couple of seasons since Palmer's been relevant, so I wouldn't expect great numbers from him. Don't expect him to start this week, either. There were reports earlier that said he would be the starter. I'd stay away from this QB situation for this week. After that, Palmer has a nice set of receivers to work with, but I wouldn't expect QB1 numbers from him. This is still a running team with Darren McFadden.

Ronnie Brown was traded, then the trade was voided. James Harrison, the other member in the deal, failed a physical. It was later reported Harrison has a brain tumor. Our thoughts and prayers go out to Harrison and we hope for a speedy recovery for him. The Lions wanted Brown, presumably to fill a void at RB created by Jahvid Best's concussion. I like Maurice Morris this week as a fill-in for Best. Remember, this is a pass-first offense, so don't expect Morris to put up monster numbers. He should be a good RB2 this week for you.

OK, now to my teams.

I'm sitting at 4-2 in my one redraft league. However, I'm encountering a terrible bye week. I have LeSean McCoy, DeSean Jackson and Hakeem Nicks on a bye, to go with the the Eagles defense. The trouble is, our bench in this 14-team league is only four players deep. So, in order to fill out a lineup, I cut Montario Hardesty, who should start this week, and Jonathan Stewart. I picked up Kevin Walter and James Jones as fill-ins at WR. I also picked up the Raiders defense and cut the Eagles defense. At my RB positions, I'm starting Jackie Battle and DeMarco Murray. I could be 4-3 after this week.

In my one-player keeper (5-1 record), I have Mike Vick on a bye. I picked up Curtis Painter and will start him over Kevin Kolb. I really don't trust Kolb. I'm benching Shonn Greene and rolling with Mike Tolbert and Mark Ingram at RB, while I'm going with Willis McGahee at my flex spot.

In my seven-player keeper league (4-2), my biggest lineup decision was to go with Earnest Graham at a flex spot with LeSean McCoy on a bye. Fred Davis was on the waiver wire earlier in the week and I picked him up to strengthen my bench.

Finally, in my other redraft league (5-1), I'm going with Cam Newton over Phil Rivers at QB again. No other great lineup decisions with more byes (Victor Cruz, Frank Gore, Fred Jackson).

Good luck this week. If you have any questions, comments or anything else, post them here. You can also hit me up on Twitter @green_rick.

Friday, October 14, 2011

What I'm doing in Week 6 fantasy football

I can't believe we're entering Week 6 of the fantasy football season. It seemed like yesterday I was working on my schedule to fit in my drafts.

If you're sitting at 1-4 or worse, don't panic. I've seen teams rally. Granted, there's a sense of urgency and you need to win. But don't fold.

If you are in one of those situations, don't be afraid to shake things up. Hey, you can't get any worse, right?

Just make sure you're getting some talent. And play to win.

Here's what I'm doing with my four teams:

I know he's on a bye week, but I picked up Jackie Battle in my one redraft league. My thinking was he could be a 2010 version of Thomas Jones, or perhaps better. I think Battle is a flex starter for teams the rest of the way. I passed on Earnest Graham to get Battle. This was earlier in the week, before news of LeGarrette Blount possibly being out four weeks. Graham might be the better PPR choice for the next month, but for the rest of the season, I like Battle. I have Felix Jones and LeSean McCoy at RBs, and Hakeem Nicks and DeSean Jackson at WRs.

In my other redraft league, my tough lineup choice was going with Fred Jackson over Frank Gore. I have the 49ers defense, and I do not like their matchup against the Lions, but I think I might keep them there. I have been looking at picking up the Raiders defense (vs. Browns) as a replacement.

I'm running into bye-week problems in my one-player keeper league. I have Vincent Jackson, Mike Tolbert and Willis McGahee out. I also have Julio Jones out with an injury. With a four-man bench, those are some problems. I picked up Plaxico Burress and James Jones to start at WR2 and my flex spot. It's a 12-team league, so pickings were slim.

My dynasty league is pretty set with no tough choices. I thought about Matt Schaub as my QB, but I'm rolling with the recently acquired Ryan Fitzpatrick. 

Good luck this week.

Follow me on Twitter @green_rick.

Thursday, October 6, 2011

What I'm doing for Week 5 in fantasy football

We're four weeks into the fantasy football season. There's still plenty of time to recover from a bad start, but you need to watch out for those bye-week landmines.

First off, here are the teams with the week off: Browns, Cowboys, Rams, Dolphins, Redskins and Ravens.

Make sure you're not starting anyone from those teams; there's no need to help out your opponent.

Here's where I sit with my four teams:
  • Dynasty league: 3-1, 2nd overall, 1st in total points
  • One-player keeper: 3-1, 2nd overall, 2nd in total points
  • Re-draft league #1: 2-2, 6th overall, 3rd in total points
  • Re-draft league #2: 3-1, 2nd overall, 2nd in total points
Overall, I'm pretty satisfied. In my dynasty league, I lost last week by 0.2 points, as in two-tenths of a point. In my re-draft league #1, I lost one game by one point.

Anyway, here's what I'm looking at.

I'm starting Cam Newton over Phil Rivers in one redraft league. I gotta ride the hot hand. I picked up Victor Cruz as a bye-week fill-in, and I finally dropped Hines Ward, who's been doing nothing.

In my other redraft league, I'm going to start Isaac Redman at RB2 if I hear news Rashard Mendenhall is out. If not, I have a choice between Jon Stewart and Dexter McCluster. Right now, I'm trying out McCluster for one more week. If he doesn't produce against the Colts this week, I'll likely cut him.

I've been searching for a QB in my dynasty league. I've been going with Matt Schaub and have been disappointed. I have an offer out for Newton in that league. I'm convinced he can help. I'm loaded at RB, so I have some backs in a deal. This week, I'm starting Matt Forte and Arian Foster over Peyton Hillis and MJD.

In my one-player keeper, I have Julio Jones in my flex spot. I like his matchup this week. I'm going with Jones over Mark Ingram (nice matchup) and Will McGahee (good news on getting the rock in Denver). I have Shonn Greene in my lineup, and I might pull him, but I want to see what he does this week. The Jets are supposed to go back to running the ball, so we'll see. I can't fault you for bailing on Greene at this point, however.

That's my thinking right now. Post or email your comments or questions.

You can follow me on Twitter @ green_rick.


Ryan Torain muddles Redskins' running back picture

Mike Shanahan has a reputation.

For fantasy football owners, Shanahan's reputation isn't based on winning Super Bowls. Shanahan is known for driving fantasy football owners crazy for choosing his running backs.

Tim Hightower appeared to be 'the guy' in D.C. this season based on his work in preseason. He had some good games for the Redskins, but on Sunday left the game early.

Ryan Torain stepped in, and stepped up. Torain rushed for 135 yards and a touchdown while Roy Helu, once thought as the heir as the starter, didn't see the field as much.

Now, Torain is a hot waiver-wire pickup. Keep in mind that Torain has a bye this week. Also note, that there's no guarantee Torain will have has many rushing yards for the rest of the season.

Then this bit of news was made public: Hightower injured his shoulder during the game against the Rams, which prompted the change of plans in the Redskins' backfield.

The general thinking now is Torain is the starter, Helu the change-of-pace back and Hightower the third-down guy.

This backfield screams, 'Stay away!' this season. 

I'm still intrigued by Helu. You just know Torain is going to get injured at some point, and Shanahan already has shown is willingness to go away from Hightower.

I'm still sticking with Helu. Although I understand if you want to ride a hot hand with Torain.

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

I took a bye for week 4 in fantasy football

Sorry about no posting last week leading up to Week 4 in fantasy football.

Our family took our annual trip to Cedar Point for HalloWeekends. We had a blast, my sons got scared in some of the haunted houses at the Point, and enjoyed going 120 mph on Top Thrill Dragster.

Anyway, I'll be back this week for my thoughts and opinions.

If you need some questions answered about CP, let me know.